Thursday, December 1, 2016

今年股市亏钱?快看看其他人的组合

很快2016只剩一个月,股市里有人输钱,有人赚钱。
还记得去年在i3的一项选股游戏吗?



http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/stock_pick_2016/110574.jsp

胜利者差不多呼之欲出。11月的成绩如下
一共72名参赛者,27名有正回酬45名是负回酬(亏损)。
前两名超过30%回酬,真是了不起,比巴菲特,索罗斯,彼得·林奇Peter Lynch还强。
回酬20%以上,只有1名,回酬超过10%有9名。
而亏损最大超过-30%有3名,亏损超过-20%和-10%,分别有8名和15名。

如果把全部正回酬加起来共RM292,983.66,全部亏损总和是RM-580,504.09
亏损接近正回酬的双倍。把双方加起来,还是亏RM-287,520.43。这些钱去了哪里?它都蒸发了。

虽然这里只是一场游戏,一小群人,不代表全部投资者,不代表整个股市。
但是好像印证了大部分人在股市里是亏钱的说法。😭

当然这里游戏有游戏规则,参赛者一次性选股,不能更换,比比各自组合一年后的成绩。

(声明:Ali没有要贬低某某,只是拿来研究研究,好的也学习,不好的也可以借鉴)
来细看他们的组合,让我们一起学习。
前三甲如下
Up down组合里共5个,其中JHM有神级的表现,230%回酬。他就单单靠JHM“吃糊”。

paperplane2016组合里有9项股,分布比较重在KESM(25%),其他16%到6%。当中KESM, AIRASIA贡献最大。

kh neoh组合分布比较均匀,共有7项股。当中ANNJOO有超强的表现200%,其他股表现差。也是单单靠ANNJOO一股撑住。

*JHM是LED 生产商
*ANNJOO是钢铁生产商
今年主题不是出口股,不是美元股,不是消费股,不是建筑股,不是银行股,不是棕油股。
是IRONMAN


后“三甲”如下
Coldrisks  组合有8支股,4个是warrant。8个表现全军覆没,DATAPRP和另外3个Warrant已经输了半边江山。

Thkent91组合有5支股,5支全军覆没。

alpha trader 组合有6支股,5负1正。


Mr Koon vs Mr OTB
还有值得注意的是Mr koon和Mr OTB,Mr Koon所挑选的组合负回酬排名56,反而Mr OTB排名第9(好像徒弟打赢师傅)。也难怪那么多人在论坛骂Koon。😡


还有剩下1个月时间,能不能扭转乾坤?拭目以待。


NamePortfolioTotal Return%
1Up_downStock Pick 2016 - Up_down38,812.5138.81%
2paperplane2016Stock Pick 2016 - paperplane201633,628.1033.63%
3Kh NeohStock Pick 2016 - Kh Neoh23,940.0123.94%
4Tan KWStock Pick 2016 - Tan KW19,402.9819.40%
5nicholasnwh90Stock Pick 2016 - nicholasnwh9019,210.7619.21%
6CFTraderStock Pick 2016 - CFTrader15,572.9515.57%
7followindStock Pick 2016 - followind14,496.4114.50%
8mrk2caStock Pick 2016 - mrk2ca13,771.4313.77%
9Ooi Teik BeeStock Pick 2016 - Ooi Teik Bee13,542.0813.54%
10boon1515Stock Pick 2016 - boon151513,337.4913.34%
11LuvLuvStock Pick 2016 - LuvLuv11,039.9711.04%
12duitKWSPkitaStock Pick 2016 - duitKWSPkita10,761.7210.76%
13yeekarwai88Stock Pick 2016 - yeekarwai889,437.459.30%
14jesterStock Pick 2016 - jester9,077.249.08%
15JeevSStock Pick 2016 - JeevS7,527.967.53%
16ACELEEStock Pick 2016 - ACELEE5,151.465.15%
17YiStockStock Pick 2016 - YiStock5,036.565.04%
18Bs1688Stock Pick 2016 - Bs16884,461.764.46%
19bukithotStock Pick 2016 - bukithot4,443.944.44%
20chonghaiStock Pick 2016 - chonghai3,821.733.82%
21noobnnewStock Pick 2016 - noobnnew3,725.943.73%
22jyskyStock Pick 2016 - jysky3,541.363.49%
23fattycatStock Pick 2016 - fattycat3,158.683.16%
24jjunieStock Pick 2016 - jjunie2,396.152.40%
25lala123Stock Pick 2016 - lala1231,546.651.55%
26Shaun LoongStock Pick 2016 - Shaun Loong1,314.811.31%
27Mr. MStock Pick 2016 - Mr. M825.560.83%
28imoogi99Stock Pick 2016 - imoogi99-212.75-0.21%
29alpha investorStock Pick 2016 - alpha investor-642.29-0.64%
30lbkeatStock Pick 2016 - lbkeat-937.56-0.94%
31Collin SooStock Pick 2016 - Collin Soo-1,165.56-1.17%
32Chaw Zheng YiStock Pick 2016 - Chaw Zheng Yi-1,845.03-1.85%
33Tee TomStock Pick 2016 - Tee Tom-2,102.32-2.10%
34gohkimhockStock Pick 2016 - gohkimhock-2494.74-2.49%
35Intelligent InvestorStock Pick 2016 - Intelligent Investor-2980.95-2.98%
36goreng_gorengStock Pick 2016 - goreng_goreng-3412.04-3.41%
37mbs7633Stock Pick 2016 - mbs7633-3841.83-3.84%
38nam79Stock Pick 2016 - nam79-4206.78-4.21%
39hawkeyeStock Pick 2016 - hawkeye-4352.44-4.35%
40NOBYStock Pick 2016 - NOBY-4458.32-4.46%
41lewis27wongStock Pick 2016 - lewis27wong-4,755.73-4.76%
42prescott2006Stock Pick 2016 - prescott2006-6,021.05-6.02%
43rikkiStock Pick 2016 - rikki-6,341.58-6.34%
44shellhouseStock Pick 2016 - shellhouse-6,512.41-6.51%
45RosmahMansurStock Pick 2016 - RosmahMansur-8,014.43-8.01%
46soojinhouStock Pick 2016 - soojinhou-9,384.29-9.38%
47goldenluck16Stock Pick 2016 - goldenluck16-10,828.10-10.83%
48爱丽丝 梦幻世界Stock Pick 2016 - 爱丽丝 梦幻世界-10,891.79-10.89%
49soros228Stock Pick 2016 - soros228-10,996.19-11.00%
50alexchuaStock Pick 2016 - alexchua-11,851.19-11.85%
51gogoStock Pick 2016 - gogo-12,102.22-12.10%
52NewbhereStock Pick 2016 - Newbhere-13,439.09-13.44%
53I_like_dividendStock Pick 2016 - I_like_dividend-13,807.15-13.81%
54pedestrianStock Pick 2016 - pedestrian-14,960.58-14.96%
55JayCStock Pick 2016 - JayC-16,040.12-16.04%
56Koon Yew YinStock Pick 2016 - Koon Yew Yin-16,804.19-16.80%
57Icon8888Stock Pick 2016 - Icon8888-17,203.50-17.20%
58Haziq NazriStock Pick 2016 - Haziq Nazri-18,136.80-18.14%
59skyhawkStock Pick 2016 - skyhawk-18,378.27-18.38%
60thec16Stock Pick 2016 - thec16-19,113.58-19.11%
61skylandStock Pick 2016 - skyland-19,694.44-19.69%
62Cheok Yong KeeStock Pick 2016 - Cheok Yong Kee-20,246.95-20.25%
63wikileaksStock Pick 2016 - wikileaks-20,718.16-20.72%
64StockwatchStock Pick 2016 - Stockwatch-20,737.19-20.74%
65Isaac320Stock Pick 2016 - Isaac320-21,133.24-21.13%
66cemertugusStock Pick 2016 - cemertugus-21,149.45-21.15%
67Xt Peter LeeStock Pick 2016 - Xt Peter Lee-23,116.10-23.12%
68Money_MasterStock Pick 2016 - Money_Master-23,366.83-23.37%
69valuelurkerStock Pick 2016 - valuelurker-25,565.97-25.57%
70Alpha TraderStock Pick 2016 - Alpha Trader-32,286.30-32.29%
71Thkent91Stock Pick 2016 - Thkent91-34,758.55-34.76%
72ColdrisksStock Pick 2016 - Coldrisks-39,496.04-39.50%


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